ElectionOdds.ca

The BC election odds for most seats in 2025 suggest a tight race, with shifting voter support making it difficult to predict which party will come out on top.

With the 2025 Canadian federal election approaching, bookmakers have released betting odds highlighting the competitive landscape in British Columbia. The odds currently show the Liberal Party of Canada as slight favorites, closely followed by the Conservative Party of Canada.

Meanwhile, the New Democratic Party and Green Party are significantly behind, reflecting their status as underdogs.

Canada Election Odds for British Columbia

Party	Betting Odds	Implied Probability
Liberal Party of Canada	-110	52.4%
Conservative Party of Canada	+120	45.5%
New Democratic Party	+1000	9.1%
Green Party of Canada	+6400	1.5%

Note: Odds and implied probabilities listed above were accurate as of April 5, 2025.

The LPC is listed at -110, indicating they’re marginal favorites to win the majority of BC’s federal seats. According to bookmakers, the negative odds signify bettors must wager $110 to win $100, reflecting an implied probability of approximately 52.4% that the Liberals will secure the most seats.

Analysts attribute this slight edge to recent polling data favoring the Liberals and the rejuvenated image of the party under the leadership of former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney, who succeeded Justin Trudeau.

The Conservative Party follows closely behind at +120 odds, indicating a potential gain for bettors, as a $100 wager would return a profit of $120 if successful. These odds imply a probability of approximately 45.5%.

Despite strong provincial polling, Conservatives face challenges in translating the popular vote into seat gains, primarily due to their concentration of support in rural and interior regions, which contain fewer total ridings..

In contrast, the NDP, traditionally strong in Vancouver Island and East Vancouver, faces long odds at +1000.

The implied probability of this outcome is roughly 9%, which strongly reflects the party’s limited electoral reach outside its established urban strongholds, presenting substantial hurdles to achieving province-wide dominance.

Finally, the Green Party sits far behind with odds of +6400, suggesting an exceedingly unlikely scenario where they would secure the majority of seats.

This outcome carries an implied probability of less than 2%, underscoring the Greens’ marginal status in the broader provincial electoral landscape.

With multiple closely contested ridings, voter turnout and local campaign developments could significantly alter outcomes, underscoring the importance of closely monitoring electoral trends in the coming days.